What are the current odds for "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give Up a 0.1% probability. This market is trading on Polymarket with $297.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Up shares at 0.1% or Down shares at 100.0%. The market has $215.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Today (Mar 19, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Up

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?

Updated Today

The S&P 500 is priced at 0% to finish higher on March 19, 2026, suggesting markets expect a down day for equities. This extreme bearish positioning on a single trading day reflects either anticipated economic data, Fed decisions, or broader market sentiment on that specific date.

Current Probability

0.1%

Trade on Polymarket

UpDown

If Up wins

$2000.00 return per $1

If Down wins

$1.00 return per $1