What are the current odds for "Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 0.4% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $323.3K in total volume.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Q: Where can I trade on "Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 0.4% or No shares at 99.6%. The market has $9.4K in liquidity.

Updated Today

MicroStrategy's potential inclusion in the S&P 500 would validate its pivot toward becoming a Bitcoin treasury company and signal mainstream acceptance of crypto-linked equities. Markets currently give this a mere 1% chance by March 31, 2026, reflecting skepticism that index inclusion criteria will be met so quickly.

Current Probability

0.4%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$222.22 return per $1

If No wins

$1.00 return per $1