Updated Today
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? is currently trading at 92.2% on Polymarket. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$1.09 return per $1
If No wins
$12.74 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
PM·$4.37M volSenators vs. Rangers
PM·$1.72M volIslanders vs. Senators
PM·$988.1K volSenators vs. Red Wings
PM·$1.00M volSenators vs. Capitals
PM·$795.3K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
PM·$3.96M volMaple Leafs vs. Senators
PM·$464.0K volTrump out as President by March 31?
PM·$11.68M volTrump out as President by June 30?
PM·$1.26M volWill Trump visit China by March 31?
PM·$4.86M volKigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
PM·$203.2K volIslanders vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
PM·$189.3K vol
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Outcome: Republicans win
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Outcome: Republican Party
KalshiTrump Venezuela Head of State Dec 31 2026
Outcome: Donald Trump
KalshiWho will be Trump's next United States Secretary of Homeland Security?
Outcome: Markwayne Mullin
KalshiWill any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jul 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before July 2026
KalshiWill Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028?
Outcome: Before Election Day
