What are the current odds for "Will Pete Hegseth visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 0.1% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Pete Hegseth visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 0.1% or No shares at 100.0%. The market has $118.3K in liquidity.

Polymarketother

Will Pete Hegseth visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Updated 3 months ago

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Currently 0.1% on Polymarket, with $1,775 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

0.1%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2000.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.00 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Listed on Polymarket Jan 4, 2026