What are the current odds for "Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 24.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $105.4K in total volume.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Jan 3, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Q: Where can I trade on "Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 24.5% or No shares at 75.5%. The market has $10.3K in liquidity.

Updated Today

Senator Mitch McConnell faces speculation about early retirement before his term ends January 3, 2027, with markets giving him only a 24% chance of stepping down. His health and age have fueled ongoing questions about his Senate future.

Current Probability

24.5%-0.02%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$4.08 return per $1

If No wins

$1.32 return per $1