What are the current odds for "Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 15.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $53.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 15.0% or No shares at 85.0%. The market has $14.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Updated Today

Washington State's proposed 2% Millionaire Tax faces an uphill legislative battle, with prediction markets giving it just a 14% chance of passage before 2027. The wealth tax has faced legal challenges and opposition from high-income residents concerned about capital flight.

Current Probability

15.0%-0.04%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$6.67 return per $1

If No wins

$1.18 return per $1