What are the current odds for "Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?"?

As of April 2026, prediction markets give this a 38.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $113.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 38.5% or No shares at 61.5%. The market has $5.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Updated Today

Kash Patel's tenure as a Trump administration official faces scrutiny heading into 2027, with prediction markets giving him a 36% chance of departing before year-end 2026. His role in the administration has drawn considerable attention from political observers tracking cabinet stability.

Current Probability

38.5%+0.04%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2.60 return per $1

If No wins

$1.63 return per $1