Question 1

What are the current odds for "Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

As of April 2026, prediction markets give this a 17.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $0 in total volume.

Question 2

Where can I trade on "Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 17.5% or No shares at 82.5%. The market has $5.4K in liquidity.

Question 3

When does this prediction market close?

Accepted Answer

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Feb 28, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?

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