What are the current odds for "Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 11.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $6.1K in total volume.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 months (Apr 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Q: Where can I trade on "Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 11.5% or No shares at 88.5%. The market has $10.6K in liquidity.

Updated Today

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? is currently trading at 11.5% on Polymarket, with $6,079 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

11.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$8.70 return per $1

If No wins

$1.13 return per $1

Related Markets

Japan Warships Strait Hormuz Apr 2026

10.4%

$178.6K vol

Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

4.7%

$97.1K vol

Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

5.1%

$76.7K vol

Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

6.6%

$72.0K vol

Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

5.0%

$65.0K vol

Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

5.2%

$51.8K vol

Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$10.6K

24h Volume$2.8K

Total Volume$6.1K

Liquidity$10.6K

Ends1 months

End DateApr 30, 2026

Price Changes

Trade Now

More Tech Markets

View all tech markets

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Lakers vs. Rockets

Trail Blazers vs. Nets

100.0%·

PM·$2.20M vol

Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)

100.0%·

PM·$1.89M vol

Trail Blazers vs. Pacers

100.0%·

PM·$1.70M vol

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?

0.1%·

PM·$2.04M vol

Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)

0.1%·

PM·$1.00M vol

Spread: Rockets (-1.5)

0.1%·

PM·$938.2K vol

Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)

100.0%·

PM·$912.5K vol

Spread: Rockets (-8.5)

0.1%·

PM·$831.6K vol

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?

100.0%·

PM·$2.29M vol

Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)

100.0%·

PM·$715.4K vol