Updated Today
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? is currently trading at 71.5% on Polymarket. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$1.40 return per $1
If No wins
$3.51 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
PM·$4.37M volTrump out as President by March 31?
PM·$11.25M volSenators vs. Rangers
PM·$1.72M volIslanders vs. Senators
PM·$988.1K volSenators vs. Capitals
PM·$795.3K volMaple Leafs vs. Senators
PM·$464.0K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
PM·$3.48M volWill Trump visit China by March 31?
PM·$4.62M volWill Trump visit China by April 30?
PM·$2.85M volTrump out as President by June 30?
PM·$855.2K volKigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
PM·$203.2K volIslanders vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
PM·$189.3K vol
KalshiWill Eric Swalwell finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Outcome: Eric Swalwell
KalshiWho will advance from California's top-two primary for governor?
Outcome: 2 Republicans
KalshiWho will advance from California's top-two primary for governor?
Outcome: 1 Democrat and 1 Republican
KalshiWho will advance from California's top-two primary for governor?
Outcome: 2 Democrats
KalshiCalifornia Governorship 2027
Outcome: Eric Swalwell
KalshiCalifornia Governorship 2027
Outcome: Matt Mahan
