What are the current odds for "Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 0.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $24.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 0.5% or No shares at 99.5%. The market has $13.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 6 days (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

Updated Today

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31? is currently trading at 0.5% on Polymarket, with $24,635 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

0.5%+0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$181.82 return per $1

If No wins

$1.01 return per $1

Compare on Other Platforms

Kalshi

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in March 2026?

Outcome: Yes

Will legislation that terminates or otherwise limits global tariffs imposed by the President of the United States passed the House before Jul 1, 2026?

Outcome: Global

1.0%

$17.7K vol

Kalshi

Will legislation that prohibits members of Congress from purchasing stocks, even if it allows for purchasing stocks via a blind trust or the purchase of “diversified assets” (such as ETFs or mutual funds) passed the House before Jul 1, 2026?

Outcome: Before July 2026

8.0%

$10.8K vol

Kalshi

Will legislation that terminates or otherwise limits tariffs imposed by the President of the United States on Mexico passed the House before Jul 1, 2026?

Outcome: Mexico

15.0%

$8.7K vol

Kalshi

Will legislation that terminates or otherwise limits tariffs imposed by the President of the United States on Brazil passed the House before Jul 1, 2026?

Outcome: Brazil

9.0%

$7.0K vol