When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 2 months (Oct 4, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Updated 7 min ago

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. Currently 7.5% on Polymarket, with $93,404 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

7.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$13.33 return per $1

If No wins

$1.08 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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