What are the current odds for "US strike on Cuba by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 0.1% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.63M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "US strike on Cuba by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 0.1% or No shares at 99.9%. The market has $66.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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US strike on Cuba by March 31?

Updated Today

A direct U.S. military strike on Cuba would represent one of the most dramatic escalations in U.S.-Cuba relations in decades. Markets currently give this scenario just a 3% chance by March 31, 2026, pricing in the diplomatic and geopolitical barriers to such action.

Current Probability

0.1%-0.02%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$666.67 return per $1

If No wins

$1.00 return per $1