Updated Today
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? is currently trading at 17.0% on Polymarket, with $52,726 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$5.88 return per $1
If No wins
$1.20 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
PM·$19.10M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
PM·$12.12M volUS forces enter Iran by March 31?
PM·$35.70M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
PM·$5.82M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?
PM·$23.08M volLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
PM·$5.83M volSpurs vs. Clippers
PM·$4.94M volLakers vs. Heat
PM·$4.82M volClippers vs. Pelicans
PM·$4.72M volNetanyahu out by March 31?
PM·$78.85M vol76ers vs. Hornets
PM·$3.85M volLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
PM·$4.22M vol
KalshiWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before Apr 1, 2026
KalshiWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 15, 2026?
Outcome: Before Apr 15, 2026
KalshiWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before May 1, 2026
KalshiWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 15, 2026?
Outcome: Before May 15, 2026
KalshiWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before June 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
KalshiWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before Jul 1, 2026
