What are the current odds for "Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 8.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $18.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 8.0% or No shares at 92.0%. The market has $15.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?

Updated 3 weeks ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Currently 8.0% on Polymarket, with $18,224 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

8.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$12.50 return per $1

If No wins

$1.09 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.