What are the current odds for "Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 13.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $12.4K in total volume.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?

Updated 3 weeks ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Currently 13.0% on Polymarket, with $12,420 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

13.0%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$7.69 return per $1

If No wins

$1.15 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.