
Updated Today
Following ongoing debates about election integrity and executive power, prediction markets currently give a 30% chance that Trump declares election interference a national emergency before year-end 2026. This outcome hinges on political developments and potential legal or electoral challenges.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$3.23 return per $1
If No wins
$1.45 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Senators vs. Rangers
Senators vs. Red Wings
Islanders vs. Senators
Senators vs. Capitals
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Maple Leafs vs. Senators
Trump out as President by March 31?
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Trump out as President by June 30?
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Nov 4, 2026?
Outcome: Before Nov 4, 2026
Will the National Party win the 2026 Farrer by-election?
Outcome: National Party