What are the current odds for "Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?"?

As of April 2026, prediction markets give this a 95.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $633.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 95.0% or No shares at 5.0%. The market has $25.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Today (Apr 7, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Updated Today

In one of the most-watched political markets, prediction traders currently give Trump a 75% chance of announcing a Hormuz deadline extension by end of day April 7, 2026. This reflects expectations around administration policy on Iranian strait shipping, a geopolitically sensitive issue with major energy market implications.

Current Probability

95.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.05 return per $1

If No wins

$20.00 return per $1

Price History