What are the current odds for "Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 0.6% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $124.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 0.6% or No shares at 99.4%. The market has $15.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 6 days (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?

Updated Today

Tim Cook has led Apple since 2011, and markets give his departure by March 31, 2026 just a 1% chance. Any unexpected leadership change would significantly impact Apple's stock and strategic direction during a critical period for AI integration.

Current Probability

0.6%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$166.67 return per $1

If No wins

$1.01 return per $1