What are the current odds for "Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 30.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $307.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 30.5% or No shares at 69.5%. The market has $12.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Updated Today

Tim Cook has led Apple since 2011, but succession planning remains a persistent question for investors and analysts tracking the tech giant's future. Markets currently give Cook's departure before 2027 only a 34% chance, reflecting confidence in his continued leadership despite ongoing speculation.

Current Probability

30.5%+0.10%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$3.28 return per $1

If No wins

$1.44 return per $1