
Updated Today
Stripe, one of fintech's most valuable private companies, faces mounting pressure to go public as competitors and market conditions shift. Markets currently give a pre-2027 IPO just a 14% chance, suggesting skeptics believe the payments giant will delay or pursue alternative paths beyond 2026.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$7.41 return per $1
If No wins
$1.16 return per $1
Price Changes
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20?
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24?
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21?
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?
Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?
Outcome: <80B
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Outcome: No IPO by June 30, 2026
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
Outcome: 80–100B
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $120B and $140B at market close on IPO day?
Outcome: 120–140B