What are the current odds for "Starmer out by June 30, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 42.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.29M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Starmer out by June 30, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 42.5% or No shares at 57.5%. The market has $54.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Updated Today

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer faces a coin-flip scenario with markets pricing a 46% chance he'll be out of office by mid-2026. Economic pressures and internal party dynamics could force an earlier departure than typical parliamentary terms.

Current Probability

42.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2.35 return per $1

If No wins

$1.74 return per $1

Price History