What are the current odds for "Starmer out by December 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 66.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $807.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Starmer out by December 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 66.5% or No shares at 33.5%. The market has $69.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Updated Today

In one of the most-watched UK political markets, traders are betting heavily against PM Keir Starmer's tenure extending past 2026. Markets currently give his exit by year-end 70% odds, reflecting ongoing pressure from inflation, strikes, and internal Labour tensions.

Current Probability

66.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.50 return per $1

If No wins

$2.99 return per $1

Price History