Updated Today
The SAVE Act (H.R. 22) faces long odds in Congress, with prediction markets giving it only a 14% chance of becoming law by end of 2026. Immigration and voting eligibility reforms remain contentious legislative terrain despite renewed congressional focus.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$7.69 return per $1
If No wins
$1.15 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
PM·$19.10M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
PM·$12.12M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
PM·$5.82M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?
PM·$23.08M volLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
PM·$5.83M volSpurs vs. Clippers
PM·$4.94M volLakers vs. Heat
PM·$4.82M volClippers vs. Pelicans
PM·$4.72M volLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
PM·$4.22M volWarriors vs. Celtics
PM·$3.52M volMagic vs. Hawks
PM·$3.48M volSuns vs. Timberwolves
PM·$3.38M vol
KalshiSAVE Act Becomes Law by Jan 4 2027
Outcome: Before Jan 4, 2027
KalshiOBBB Gambling Tax Removal 2026
Outcome: Before April 2026
KalshiDHS Funding Bill Before Apr 8 2026
Outcome: Before Apr 8, 2026
KalshiDHS Funding Bill Before Apr 15 2026
Outcome: Before Apr 15, 2026
KalshiGambling Tax OBBB Act 2026
Outcome: Before 2027
KalshiWill legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Credit-card routing competition
