What are the current odds for "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 7.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $172.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 7.5% or No shares at 92.5%. The market has $33.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

Updated yesterday

This market asks whether the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) will be passed by both chambers of Congress and signed into law by year-end 2026. Markets currently give this legislative outcome just a 9% chance, suggesting significant political obstacles remain to passage.

Current Probability

7.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$13.33 return per $1

If No wins

$1.08 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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