Updated Today
Republicans achieving a Senate supermajority alongside House and White House control in the 2026 midterms (November 3) faces long odds at just 3% according to prediction markets. Such a trifecta would require significant gains in an election cycle that historically favors the opposition party.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$54.05 return per $1
If No wins
$1.02 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
PM·$4.37M volSenators vs. Rangers
PM·$1.72M volSenators vs. Red Wings
PM·$1.00M volIslanders vs. Senators
PM·$988.1K volSenators vs. Capitals
PM·$795.3K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
PM·$3.81M volMaple Leafs vs. Senators
PM·$464.0K volTrump out as President by March 31?
PM·$11.44M volWill Trump visit China by April 30?
PM·$2.97M volTrump out as President by June 30?
PM·$1.10M volWill Trump visit China by March 31?
PM·$4.68M volKigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
PM·$203.2K vol
KalshiRepublicans Win US Senate 2026
Outcome: Republican Party
KalshiRepublicans Win Texas Senate 2027
Outcome: Republican party
KalshiRepublican Senate Win in Maine
Outcome: Republican party
KalshiDems Hold House & Senate 2026
Outcome: Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?
KalshiNebraska Senate Race 2027
Outcome: Republican party
KalshiDems Hold House and Senate 2026 Midterms
Outcome: Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?
