
Updated Today
Putin's removal from office remains an extremely low-probability event in markets' view. With only a 5% chance priced in by June 30, 2026, traders see the Russian political situation as remarkably stable despite ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$21.28 return per $1
If No wins
$1.05 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Trump out as President by March 31?
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Trump out as President by June 30?
Kigali 2: Marco Cecchinato vs Sandro Kopp
Kigali 2: Marco Cecchinato vs Arthur Gea
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Putin Out as Russia President by 2026
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Jun 2026
Russia Invades NATO by Jun 2026
Trump-Putin Meeting in Russia 2026
Trump Out as President by June 30
Ukraine recognize Russia territory by Jun 30