What are the current odds for "Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 7.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $212.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 7.5% or No shares at 92.5%. The market has $15.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

Updated Today

A city-owned grocery store led by Mamdani by June 30 would represent a significant public retail intervention, but markets give this initiative only 11% odds of launching on schedule. Community grocery initiatives face funding, permitting, and operational hurdles that commonly delay real-world openings beyond initial timelines.

Current Probability

7.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$13.33 return per $1

If No wins

$1.08 return per $1