What are the current odds for "Macron out by June 30, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 2.9% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $296.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Macron out by June 30, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 2.9% or No shares at 97.2%. The market has $37.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Updated Today

French political uncertainty dominates this long-duration market, where Emmanuel Macron faces potential exit before June 30, 2026—though prediction markets assign this just a 4% probability. The outcome hinges on domestic crises, parliamentary dynamics, or constitutional triggers that could accelerate his departure.

Current Probability

2.9%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$35.09 return per $1

If No wins

$1.03 return per $1

Price History