What are the current odds for "Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 92.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $127.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 92.5% or No shares at 7.5%. The market has $17.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Updated Today

Canada's political landscape heads toward a June 30, 2026 deadline as markets heavily favor continued Liberal governance. At 94% probability of a Liberal-led majority, traders expect Justin Trudeau's party to maintain parliamentary control through the next election cycle.

Current Probability

92.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.08 return per $1

If No wins

$13.33 return per $1