What are the current odds for "Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 1.2% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $84.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 1.2% or No shares at 98.8%. The market has $6.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 4 days (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?

Updated Today

With regional tensions running high and complex diplomatic hurdles remaining, markets give Israeli-Saudi Arabian normalization just a 2% chance by March 31, 2026. This reflects the significant distance between current relations and formal diplomatic recognition despite occasional negotiation reports.

Current Probability

1.2%-0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$83.33 return per $1

If No wins

$1.01 return per $1