Updated Today
The U.S. government has controlled Fannie Mae since the 2008 financial crisis. Markets currently give a Fannie Mae IPO before 2027 just a 16% chance, reflecting the complexity of privatizing a systemically critical mortgage giant and the political hurdles involved in unwinding decades of government ownership.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$7.69 return per $1
If No wins
$1.15 return per $1
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PM·$292.1K volRelatedWill Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?
Outcome: 200–250B
RelatedWill Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Outcome: 400B+
RelatedWill Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Outcome: No IPO by June 30, 2026
RelatedWill Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $300B and $350B at market close on IPO day?
Outcome: 300–350B
