Updated Today
Bitcoin traders are betting on intraday volatility during a five-minute window on April 8th at 5:55 AM ET, with markets currently giving an up move just a 1% chance. These micro-timeframe markets reflect the extreme difficulty of predicting Bitcoin's second-to-second direction.
Current Probability
If Up wins
$200.00 return per $1
If Down wins
$1.01 return per $1
Price Changes
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8?
PM·$469.9K volBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9AM ET
PM·$218.8K volBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8AM ET
PM·$201.9K volBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
PM·$194.1K volBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7PM ET
PM·$188.5K volBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5PM ET
PM·$150.1K volBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
PM·$136.8K volBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
PM·$131.5K volS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 8?
PM·$126.0K volBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
PM·$116.1K volS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8?
PM·$103.0K volBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4AM ET
PM·$91.2K volSame eventBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Same eventBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Same eventBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
RelatedBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
RelatedBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
KalshiEconomic Downturn by Jul 2028
Outcome: Yes
