What are the current odds for "Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 0.1% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $218.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 0.1% or No shares at 99.9%. The market has $30.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Jan 1, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Updated Today

Based, a major new cryptocurrency project, plans a token launch in early 2027—a high-stakes moment when initial valuations often signal long-term viability. Markets currently give the token a 1% chance of reaching an $800M fully diluted valuation within its first day, reflecting skepticism about whether hype will sustain at such an aggressive price target.

Current Probability

0.1%-0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$666.67 return per $1

If No wins

$1.00 return per $1