What are the current odds for "Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 6.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $109.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 6.5% or No shares at 93.5%. The market has $41.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Updated Today

The prospect of any EU member state withdrawing before 2027 sits at just 7% odds, suggesting markets view the bloc as structurally stable despite recent political fragmentation and rising populist movements. The baseline remains that exit costs outweigh member discontent.

Current Probability

6.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$15.38 return per $1

If No wins

$1.07 return per $1

Price History