What are the current odds for "Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 19.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $79.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 19.0% or No shares at 81.0%. The market has $3.7K in liquidity.

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Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?

Updated Ended

A dramatic shift in Venezuela's foreign policy toward recognizing Israel would reshape Middle Eastern diplomacy and signal major internal political changes in Caracas. Markets currently give this 16% odds by June 30, 2026—unlikely but not negligible amid global realignments.

Current Probability

19.0%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.26 return per $1

If No wins

$1.23 return per $1