What are the current odds for "Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 1.1% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $463.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 1.1% or No shares at 98.9%. The market has $37.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Dec 31, 2025). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?

Updated Today

US-Venezuela relations have deteriorated sharply due to sanctions and political disputes, yet prediction markets assign only a 2% probability of an official declaration of war by June 2026. Military action would represent a dramatic escalation from current diplomatic and economic pressure.

Current Probability

1.1%+0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$86.96 return per $1

If No wins

$1.01 return per $1