What are the current odds for "US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 21.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $172.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 21.0% or No shares at 79.0%. The market has $6.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Jan 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Updated Today

The possibility of renewed U.S. military intervention in Venezuela represents a significant geopolitical flashpoint, with markets currently giving it just a 24% chance by June 30, 2026. This reflects ongoing tensions over Venezuela's political crisis and regional stability concerns.

Current Probability

21.0%-0.04%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$4.76 return per $1

If No wins

$1.27 return per $1