What are the current odds for "Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 67.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $315.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 67.0% or No shares at 33.0%. The market has $11.9K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Updated Today

Tensions between Israel and Iran-backed Houthi forces in Yemen have escalated dramatically. Markets currently give Israel a 73% chance of conducting a strike on Yemen by mid-2026, reflecting ongoing military conflict and Israel's pattern of responding to attacks from the region.

Current Probability

67.0%-0.15%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.49 return per $1

If No wins

$3.03 return per $1