What are the current odds for "Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 15.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $263.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 15.5% or No shares at 84.5%. The market has $8.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Updated Today

Tensions between Israel and Yemen's Houthi movement have escalated through recurring cross-border strikes and maritime incidents. Markets currently give Israel a 42% chance of a direct strike on Yemen by March 2026, reflecting genuine uncertainty about escalation dynamics in an already volatile region.

Current Probability

15.5%+0.04%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$6.45 return per $1

If No wins

$1.18 return per $1