What are the current odds for "US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 17.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $158.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 17.5% or No shares at 82.5%. The market has $11.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?

Updated Today

Markets currently assess a 42% chance that US or Israeli forces strike Yemen targets by March 31, 2026, reflecting ongoing regional tensions and the Houthi threat. Such strikes would mark an escalation in the broader Middle Eastern conflict dynamics.

Current Probability

17.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.71 return per $1

If No wins

$1.21 return per $1