
Updated Today
With government funding uncertainties ongoing, markets currently give a 47% chance the Department of Homeland Security shutdown extends 60 days or longer by March 14, 2026—a threshold that would trigger significant operational disruptions and furloughs.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$3.85 return per $1
If No wins
$1.35 return per $1
Price Changes
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20?
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21?
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2PM ET
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?
Will the DHS shutdown last 44 days or more?
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?
Will the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?
Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?
Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?