What are the current odds for "Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 33.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $5.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 33.0% or No shares at 67.0%. The market has $297 in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Jan 1, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?

Updated 3 months ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 33.0% on Polymarket, with $5,353 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

33.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$3.03 return per $1

If No wins

$1.49 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered.

For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field of the Chicago Bears franchise.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chicago Bears franchise and/or the NFL.

Listed on Polymarket Feb 21, 2026 · Resolves Jan 1, 2027