What are the current odds for "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 66.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $98.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 66.5% or No shares at 33.5%. The market has $24.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Updated Today

Russian forces have a 69% market-implied probability of capturing the Ukrainian city of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026, reflecting ongoing military momentum in the eastern conflict. The three-month window suggests sustained battlefield pressure remains the base case among traders.

Current Probability

66.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.50 return per $1

If No wins

$2.99 return per $1