What are the current odds for "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 25.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $79.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 25.5% or No shares at 74.5%. The market has $11.9K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?

Updated Today

Kostyantynivka, a strategic city in eastern Ukraine's Donetsk region, has seen intense fighting as Russian forces advance. Markets currently give Russia only a 26% chance of capturing the town by April 30, 2026, suggesting widespread skepticism about rapid territorial gains despite ongoing military pressure.

Current Probability

25.5%+0.04%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$3.92 return per $1

If No wins

$1.34 return per $1