What are the current odds for "Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 19.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $76.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 19.0% or No shares at 81.0%. The market has $11.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Dec 31, 2025). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?

Updated Today

As Russia's 2026 military campaign in Ukraine continues, markets give a 28% chance Moscow captures the strategic eastern city of Lyman by April 30, 2026. Control of this logistics hub could meaningfully shift the regional military balance.

Current Probability

19.0%+0.02%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.26 return per $1

If No wins

$1.23 return per $1