What are the current odds for "Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 11.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $150.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 11.5% or No shares at 88.5%. The market has $25.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Updated Today

Russia's potential capture of Sloviansk by June 30, 2026, sits at just 10% in prediction markets, suggesting traders view Ukrainian defensive positions as resilient. The city remains strategically significant in the Donbas region and a key front-line battleground.

Current Probability

11.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$8.70 return per $1

If No wins

$1.13 return per $1