What are the current odds for "Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 19.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $131.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 19.5% or No shares at 80.5%. The market has $58.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?

Updated Today

Sloviansk, a key Ukrainian city in the Donbas region, remains contested terrain in Russia's ongoing invasion. Markets currently give Russia an 20% chance of capturing it by June 30, 2026, reflecting both the city's strategic importance and the entrenched defensive positions Ukrainian forces have established there.

Current Probability

19.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.13 return per $1

If No wins

$1.24 return per $1