What are the current odds for "Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 100.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $5.48M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 100.0% or No shares at 0.0%. The market has $0 in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

121,838

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,565,533,998

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$463,658,245

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,630,155,679

Polymarket$2.26BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$350.04MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.32MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.