What are the current odds for "Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 56.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $608.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 56.5% or No shares at 43.5%. The market has $35.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 4 months (Jul 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,740

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,762,428,991

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$577,969,177

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,417,251,902

Polymarket$3.04BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$356.20MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$24.17MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,740

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,762,428,991

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$577,969,177

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,417,251,902

Polymarket$3.04BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$356.20MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$24.17MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketother

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Updated Today

In one of tech's most-watched races, markets currently give GPT-6 a 65% chance of launching before Grand Theft Auto VI. The outcome hinges on whether OpenAI's next flagship model ships before Rockstar Games' highly anticipated gaming release.

Current Probability

56.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.77 return per $1

If No wins

$2.30 return per $1