What are the current odds for "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 10.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $0 in total volume.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?

Q: Where can I trade on "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 10.5% or No shares at 89.5%. The market has $9.4K in liquidity.

Updated Today

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? is currently trading at 10.5% on Polymarket. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

10.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$9.52 return per $1

If No wins

$1.12 return per $1

Compare on Other Platforms

Kalshi

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jul 1, 2026

Outcome: At least 1550 score

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1575 before Jul 1, 2026

Outcome: At least 1575 score

11.0%

$25.5K vol

Kalshi

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1500 before Jul 1, 2026

Outcome: At least 1500 score

98.0%

$23.9K vol

Kalshi

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027

Outcome: At least 1550 score

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1525 before Jul 1, 2026

Outcome: At least 1525 score

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jul 1, 2026

Outcome: At least 1600 score

10.0%

$9.2K vol

-0.01% 24h

Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$9.4K

24h Volume$0

Total Volume$0

Liquidity$9.4K

Ends9 months

End DateDec 31, 2026

Price Changes

7 days-0.04%

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